Nevada’s Wolf Pack has scored more than 30 points in every game this season. Air Force’s defense has given up an average of 27 points per game.
In other words, Friday night does not look tremendously promising for the Falcons.
Your predictions for the game?
Let me know.
I am anticipating tomorrow night’s game will be the start of a difficult end to the regular season for Air Force.
While I think the Falcons can and will beat Army and Hawaii to post six wins in the regular season, I see double digit losses to Nevada-Reno, San Diego State and Fresno State. I see Air Force posting a 6-6 regular season record, but with one win coming against an FCS team in Idaho State I think the boys will have to wait to see if a bowl bid is forth coming.
Fumbles, inability to stop the run, an key injury to Cody Getz, bumps and bruises to the OL and DL, plus a season-long trend of not being able to stop opposing offenses on third down are among the factors which concern me as Air Force faces stiff MWC competition versus the Wolfpack, Aztecs and Bulldogs in the final weeks of the season.
I think Nevada-Reno will win by double digits on Friday evening, but I’m hopeful Air Force will bounce back with a victory over Army the following week to sustain the possibility of earning a bowl bid in December.
There are several players who may not play against Nevada whom I’d like to see healthy enough to contribute to a win over Army next weeekend.
I tend to agree with ECF. However, I see AF topping one of the big 3 teams remaining. The team we watched at Michigan is too talented to finish 6-6. Having
said that, Calhoun needs a major defensive overhaul to make the step to top-25 status.
Hey Weasel, I’m not crying over spilled milk on the following, but: if Air Force had beaten UNLV it would be 4-0 in MWC play, alone in first place in the conference, 5-2 overall with games still to play against Army and Hawaii and in much stronger position to clinch a bowl berth.
In my mind the loss to UNLV makes wins against Army and Hawaii imperative if the team is going to earn a bowl bid.
As well as Nevada moves the ball on offense it’s going to be difficult for the Falcons to force Nevada into punting situations. Additionally, if Cody Getz cannot go the AFA offense is going to have to baffle Nevada with some “smoke and mirrors” on offense.
I hope you are right in saying AFA will upset either Nevada, San Diego State or Fresno State, but I don’t see it happening because of some of the difficulties I mentioned in my previous post.
Nevada is a 3.5pt favorite – which equates to about a 40% chance of AFA winning. I don’t think our chances are quite that good, but I don’t think we get blown out either. Nevada is looking at a short week, on the road, against an unconventional offense, in bad weather. AFA will keep it close, and hopefully steal it at the end.
The Falcons are so unpredictable, who knows? My guess is they’ll beat either SDSU, Nevada, or Fresno, but lose to either Hawaii or Army to end up with 6 wins.
If we don’t turn the ball over, we are certainly capable of beating anyone left on the schedule. Our D just hasn’t good enough to overcome the extra posessions resulting from turnovers.
GO AF!
COLD THIN AIR!
Fellow falcons, a 6-6 AF team gets a bowl berth, trust me.
Having said that, AF keeps it much closer tonight that some think. I’d like to believe our D comes out of the coma its been in and stuns UN-R.
AF wins by 10 (let’s hope).
A NEVADA Fan here and I think that it will be a 3 pt game. A couple of things, we play at altatude-so thats not an issue, we practice against the Pistol day in and day out so we see UNCONVENTIONAL OFFENCE all the time Bad weather, we had snow this week, we live in bad weather. Our issue is our defence. Nevada 24-21.
FYI…our Athletic program goes by NEVADA only. State Motto: Battle Ready-Battle Born!
6-6 does NOT get a bowl birth nor even consideration becuase one of the 6 wins was against a non FBS team! Thus making them not bowl eligable. Only 5 of the wins count. :-/. So hopefully we win at least 7. Its a must.
1 FCS win counts for bowl eligibility, and has for a long time.
So there isn’t a continued “he said/he said” about how a team does or noes not become bowl eligible, here is the exact explanation of how a team becomes bowl eligible. This excerpt is taken from the NCAA website and explains the subject.
===>Currently, there are 30 other bowl games that contractually tied to the FBS conferences. To become bowl eligible a team must have a winning record, which may include one win against a FCS opponent, or win their conference and the team must not be on postseason probation. The NCAA allows one victory per season over a FCS team to count toward an FBS team’s bowl eligibility, so long as the FCS team has supplied financial aid for football averaging out to at at least at 90 percent of the 63 scholarships allowed over “a rolling two-year period” that can include the current season.<===
I don’t think 6-6 teams should get a bowl..period. But that’s not the world we live in, and if AFA does go 6-6, they’ll get a bowl.
The FCS win does count towards elgibility.
6-6 does get AF in to bowl play and it should.
If AF can consistently move the ball it has a chance to score evenly with Nevada and keep that high-powered offense off the field. If the Falcons can’t score whenever they touch the football, they’ll lose. Plain and simple.
AF has to play their best game of the season to win tonight. No turnovers and better defense/tackling.
That being said, AF loses this one…
38-31
What a GREAT WIN!
So much for predictions, Ye of little faith. But to be honest I didn’t see this one coming either.
GO FALCONS!